Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.2%
Arouca
19.1%
Draw
49.7%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Arouca
vs
2.35
Estoril
Markets
BTTS76.0%
Over 0.598.8%
Over 1.591.9%
Over 2.579.0%
Over 3.560.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
7.7%
2-2
7.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-1
6.0%
1-3
6.0%
2-3
5.5%
3-2
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
0-1
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
1-4
3.5%
3-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).