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01 Mar 2026 · 12:30

Gent

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.6%
Genk
22.6%
Draw
29.7%
Gent

Expected Goals (xG)

1.94

Genk

vs
1.51

Gent

Markets

BTTS67.0%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.566.9%
Over 3.545.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
6.0%
3-1
5.8%
1-0
5.8%
0-1
4.4%
3-2
4.4%
3-0
3.9%
0-2
3.6%
0-0
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).