⚽ FootballData
Elgin

Home

2 – 3
AHT: 11CSV

27 Sept 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
19.9%
Elgin
25.9%
Draw
54.2%
Spartans

Expected Goals (xG)

1.11

Elgin

vs
1.91

Spartans

Markets

BTTS58.9%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
8.9%
0-1
7.5%
0-0
6.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-3
3.5%
1-4
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).