Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.9%
Aberdeen
29.2%
Draw
22.0%
St Mirren
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Aberdeen
vs
0.82
St Mirren
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
11.9%
2-0
10.5%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.8%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).