Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.5%
RB Leipzig
24.3%
Draw
14.2%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
RB Leipzig
vs
0.74
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
2-0
12.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.9%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).