Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.7%
Nice
20.5%
Draw
47.9%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Nice
vs
2.11
Marseille
Markets
BTTS71.5%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.589.1%
Over 2.573.1%
Over 3.552.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.1%
2-1
6.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-3
5.0%
0-2
5.0%
0-1
4.9%
3-2
4.0%
1-0
4.0%
3-1
3.8%
0-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).