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AHT: 01CSV

19 Oct 2024 · 15:00

Oldham

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.8%
Sutton
29.8%
Draw
41.4%
Oldham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.05

Sutton

vs
1.31

Oldham

Markets

BTTS48.7%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
0-1
11.2%
0-0
10.5%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).