Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.4%
Portsmouth
30.9%
Draw
34.7%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Portsmouth
vs
1.12
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
11.8%
0-1
11.1%
1-0
11.0%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
0-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).