Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.9%
Port Vale
23.4%
Draw
50.7%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Port Vale
vs
1.55
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.9%
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-0
8.8%
0-0
6.6%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
0-3
4.8%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).