Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.3%
Carlisle
26.4%
Draw
22.3%
Woking
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Carlisle
vs
1.02
Woking
Markets
BTTS52.6%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.528.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
0-0
7.9%
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).