Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.4%
Sheffield United
28.1%
Draw
61.5%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
0.44
Sheffield United
vs
1.45
Burnley
Markets
BTTS28.2%
Over 0.584.1%
Over 1.557.2%
Over 2.529.4%
Over 3.512.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
21.0%
0-0
15.9%
0-2
15.8%
1-1
10.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-2
7.0%
1-0
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
0-4
2.8%
2-1
2.2%
2-2
1.6%
2-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).