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AHT: 02CSV

05 Mar 2023 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.4%
Hansa Rostock
27.2%
Draw
46.4%
Karlsruhe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Hansa Rostock

vs
1.59

Karlsruhe

Markets

BTTS55.6%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
9.1%
0-2
8.2%
0-0
7.6%
2-1
6.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
5.0%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.3%
2-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).