Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.0%
Gil Vicente
23.3%
Draw
14.7%
Casa Pia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Gil Vicente
vs
0.81
Casa Pia
Markets
BTTS48.1%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.0%
1-0
11.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
7.5%
0-0
7.5%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).