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13 Aug 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.8%
Dumbarton
27.9%
Draw
47.4%
Annan Athletic

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Dumbarton

vs
1.71

Annan Athletic

Markets

BTTS59.2%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.0%
0-0
7.5%
0-1
7.3%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
5.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).