Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.3%
Brighton
30.4%
Draw
22.3%
Nottingham Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Brighton
vs
0.91
Nottingham Forest
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
11.4%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).