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AHT: 01

21 Oct 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.5%
Rukh Vynnyky
31.1%
Draw
43.5%
Karpaty

Expected Goals (xG)

0.82

Rukh Vynnyky

vs
1.17

Karpaty

Markets

BTTS39.1%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.559.6%
Over 2.532.1%
Over 3.514.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.5%
0-0
14.0%
1-1
13.5%
1-0
10.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
5.4%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).