Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.7%
Dag and Red
28.7%
Draw
26.6%
Altrincham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Dag and Red
vs
1.05
Altrincham
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
11.0%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).