Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.4%
Ath Bilbao
27.4%
Draw
22.2%
Valencia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Ath Bilbao
vs
0.88
Valencia
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
10.3%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).