Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.9%
Lecce
34.2%
Draw
31.9%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Lecce
vs
0.81
Parma
Markets
BTTS31.3%
Over 0.581.0%
Over 1.548.9%
Over 2.523.0%
Over 3.58.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
19.0%
1-0
16.4%
0-1
15.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.3%
2-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-0
1.9%
0-3
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).