Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.7%
Sunderland
32.1%
Draw
26.2%
Tottenham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Sunderland
vs
0.96
Tottenham
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.9%
0-0
12.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).