Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.4%
Cartagena
26.1%
Draw
35.5%
Villarreal B
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Cartagena
vs
1.27
Villarreal B
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
9.9%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.0%
0-0
7.2%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).