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AHT: 12CSV

17 Jan 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.7%
Rizespor
32.7%
Draw
25.7%
Genclerbirligi

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

Rizespor

vs
1.09

Genclerbirligi

Markets

BTTS53.8%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.7%
0-0
11.2%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
0-1
5.6%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).