Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.3%
Milton Keynes Dons
24.8%
Draw
51.0%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Milton Keynes Dons
vs
1.44
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.1%
1-1
11.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
8.7%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).