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AHT: 12CSV

02 Mar 2021 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.1%
Niort
23.1%
Draw
53.8%
Sochaux

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Niort

vs
1.60

Sochaux

Markets

BTTS47.9%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.5%
1-1
10.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
1-0
8.3%
0-0
6.9%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
5.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).