Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.8%
Elche
25.7%
Draw
20.5%
La Coruna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Elche
vs
0.83
La Coruna
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
11.0%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
8.0%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).