Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.9%
Ajaccio
35.4%
Draw
43.8%
Le Havre
Expected Goals (xG)
0.51
Ajaccio
vs
0.89
Le Havre
Markets
BTTS22.5%
Over 0.576.2%
Over 1.539.8%
Over 2.516.6%
Over 3.55.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
23.8%
0-1
22.9%
1-0
13.4%
1-1
10.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
5.0%
2-0
3.2%
0-3
2.9%
2-1
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-2
1.3%
0-4
0.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).