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09 Mar 2025 · 16:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.7%
Hartberg
32.1%
Draw
26.2%
SK Rapid

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Hartberg

vs
0.87

SK Rapid

Markets

BTTS40.8%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.533.1%
Over 3.514.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.3%
1-1
14.2%
0-0
14.2%
0-1
10.4%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.9%
3-0
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).