Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.3%
Plymouth
25.3%
Draw
26.4%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Plymouth
vs
0.93
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
1-1
11.7%
0-1
10.4%
2-0
9.5%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
4.0%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).