Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.8%
Wrexham
26.6%
Draw
18.6%
Bolton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Wrexham
vs
0.63
Bolton
Markets
BTTS33.4%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.557.3%
Over 2.531.2%
Over 3.513.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.7%
0-0
13.1%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
10.8%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
0-2
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).