Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.4%
Modena
30.3%
Draw
43.3%
Venezia
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Modena
vs
1.33
Venezia
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-1
11.8%
0-0
11.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).