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05 Oct 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.9%
Fatih Karagümrük
32.0%
Draw
40.2%
Gaziantep

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Fatih Karagümrük

vs
1.46

Gaziantep

Markets

BTTS56.7%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.3%
0-0
10.1%
1-2
9.0%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
0-1
7.2%
2-2
5.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).