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09 Nov 2025 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.6%
Karagumruk
33.8%
Draw
39.7%
Konyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Karagumruk

vs
1.34

Konyaspor

Markets

BTTS51.7%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.1%
0-0
12.2%
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.6%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).