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21 Oct 2023 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.8%
Tenerife
28.7%
Draw
48.6%
Levante

Expected Goals (xG)

0.78

Tenerife

vs
1.29

Levante

Markets

BTTS39.2%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.534.2%
Over 3.515.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.4%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
12.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-0
10.0%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
5.0%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
0-4
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).