Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.2%
Manchester City
26.7%
Draw
51.1%
Weston-super-Mare
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Manchester City
vs
1.39
Weston-super-Mare
Markets
BTTS41.3%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.8%
1-1
12.1%
0-2
10.7%
0-0
10.6%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
5.0%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
4.0%
2-0
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
0-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).