Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.8%
Stevenage
30.1%
Draw
27.1%
Barnet
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Stevenage
vs
0.81
Barnet
Markets
BTTS36.5%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.556.4%
Over 2.530.0%
Over 3.512.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.9%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
12.6%
0-1
12.5%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
5.3%
0-2
4.8%
3-0
3.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).