Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.4%
Cartagena
25.9%
Draw
44.7%
Cadiz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Cartagena
vs
1.45
Cadiz
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
8.7%
0-2
8.0%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).