Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.9%
Bari
31.4%
Draw
23.7%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Bari
vs
0.86
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
13.9%
0-0
13.2%
2-0
9.6%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).