Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.0%
Northampton
25.3%
Draw
22.6%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Northampton
vs
0.81
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS40.6%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
10.8%
0-0
10.0%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
5.0%
1-2
5.0%
3-1
4.1%
0-2
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).