Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.7%
Santander
20.9%
Draw
15.4%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Santander
vs
0.83
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.1%
2-0
11.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
6.0%
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
3.7%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).