Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.6%
Bristol Rvs
22.3%
Draw
60.1%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Bristol Rvs
vs
1.76
Notts County
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.7%
0-2
11.7%
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
7.1%
0-3
6.9%
1-0
6.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-1
4.5%
2-2
4.0%
0-4
3.0%
2-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).