Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.4%
Crewe
24.8%
Draw
38.9%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Crewe
vs
1.38
Swindon
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
0-1
9.7%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
0-2
6.4%
0-0
6.2%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).