Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.1%
Samsunspor
25.9%
Draw
58.0%
Fenerbahce
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Samsunspor
vs
2.03
Fenerbahce
Markets
BTTS58.5%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.536.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.6%
0-0
7.1%
0-1
7.0%
1-3
6.7%
0-3
6.5%
2-2
5.1%
2-1
5.1%
2-3
3.5%
1-4
3.4%
0-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).