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HHT: 01CSV

26 Dec 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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66.5%
Club Brugge
20.5%
Draw
13.0%
Mouscron

Expected Goals (xG)

2.11

Club Brugge

vs
0.83

Mouscron

Markets

BTTS50.0%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.8%
1-0
10.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
5.8%
4-0
4.4%
2-2
4.0%
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
4-1
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).