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04 Oct 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.8%
Chornomorets
34.1%
Draw
36.1%
Obolon'

Expected Goals (xG)

0.82

Chornomorets

vs
0.94

Obolon'

Markets

BTTS34.4%
Over 0.582.3%
Over 1.552.8%
Over 2.525.8%
Over 3.510.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
17.7%
0-1
15.8%
1-0
13.8%
1-1
13.7%
0-2
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-0
5.8%
2-1
5.4%
2-2
2.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
3-0
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).