Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.9%
Parma
33.9%
Draw
28.2%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Parma
vs
0.74
Lecce
Markets
BTTS31.2%
Over 0.581.2%
Over 1.549.2%
Over 2.523.2%
Over 3.58.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.8%
1-0
17.7%
0-1
14.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
5.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
3-0
2.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-1
1.8%
0-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).