Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.2%
Leganes
21.6%
Draw
16.2%
Granada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Leganes
vs
0.90
Granada
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.0%
1-0
11.0%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
5.9%
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).