Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.0%
Cittadella
32.3%
Draw
46.6%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Cittadella
vs
1.23
Modena
Markets
BTTS38.2%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.531.5%
Over 3.513.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.9%
0-0
15.2%
1-1
13.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
4.7%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-2
2.9%
0-4
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).