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04 Jan 2020 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.1%
Boavista
25.1%
Draw
37.8%
Portimonense

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Boavista

vs
1.33

Portimonense

Markets

BTTS53.2%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
0-1
10.0%
1-0
9.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
0-0
6.6%
0-2
6.3%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).