Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.5%
Arsenal
21.5%
Draw
9.0%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Arsenal
vs
0.62
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.5%
1-0
13.0%
1-1
10.1%
3-0
9.9%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-0
5.0%
4-1
3.1%
0-1
3.1%
2-2
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).