Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.2%
Cagliari
30.0%
Draw
20.8%
Palermo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Cagliari
vs
0.82
Palermo
Markets
BTTS43.1%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
1-1
13.7%
0-0
12.3%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.0%
0-2
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).